“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a ten year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Allegion plc (NYSE: ALLE) back in 2013: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full ten year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 10 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
| Start date: | 12/19/2013 |
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| End date: | 12/18/2023 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $44.45 | ||||
| End price/share: | $117.95 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 224.97 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 247.92 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $9.30 | ||||
| Total return: | 192.42% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 11.32% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $29,232.07 | ||||
As shown above, the ten year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 11.32%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $29,232.07 today (as of 12/18/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 192.42% (something to think about: how might ALLE shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Allegion plc paid investors a total of $9.30/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.8/share, we calculate that ALLE has a current yield of approximately 1.53%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.8 against the original $44.45/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 3.44%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Those who do not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” — George Santayana
