“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
The above quote from Warren Buffett is timeless, and brings into focus the choice about time horizon that any investor should think about before buying a stock they are considering. Behind every stock is an actual business; what will that business look like over a two-decade period?
Today, let’s look backwards in time to 2003, and take a look at what happened to investors who asked that very question about Deere & Co. (NYSE: DE), by taking a look at the investment outcome over a two-decade holding period.
|Average annual return:||16.09%|
The above analysis shows the two-decade investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 16.09%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $197,811.38 today (as of 10/13/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 1,878.32% (something to think about: how might DE shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Always an important consideration with a dividend-paying company is: should we reinvest our dividends?Over the past 20 years, Deere & Co. has paid $42.57/share in dividends. For the above analysis, we assume that the investor reinvests dividends into new shares of stock (for the above calculations, the reinvestment is performed using closing price on ex-div date for that dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 5.4/share, we calculate that DE has a current yield of approximately 1.42%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 5.4 against the original $28.46/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 4.99%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“I learned early that there is nothing new in Wall Street. There can’t be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again. I’ve never forgotten that.” — Jesse Livermore