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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

This inspiring quote from Warren Buffett teaches us the importance of considering our investment time horizon when approaching any given investment: Could we envision ourselves holding the stock we are considering for many years? Even a ten year holding period potentially?

For “buy-and-hold” investors taking a long-term view, what’s important isn’t the short-term stock market fluctuations that will inevitably occur, but what happens over the long haul. Looking back 10 years to 2013, investors considering an investment into shares of Tesla Inc (NASD: TSLA) may have been pondering this very question and thinking about their potential investment result over a full ten year time horizon. Here’s how that would have worked out.

Start date: 10/14/2013
$10,000

10/14/2013
  $219,484

10/11/2023
End date: 10/11/2023
Start price/share: $11.98
End price/share: $262.99
Starting shares: 834.72
Ending shares: 834.72
Dividends reinvested/share: $0.00
Total return: 2,095.24%
Average annual return: 36.20%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $219,484.30

As shown above, the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 36.20%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $219,484.30 today (as of 10/11/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 2,095.24% (something to think about: how might TSLA shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Another great investment quote to think about:
“Thousands of experts study overbought indicators, head-and-shoulder patterns, put-call ratios, the Fed’s policy on money supply…and they can’t predict markets with any useful consistency, any more than the gizzard squeezers could tell the Roman emperors when the Huns would attack.” — Peter Lynch