“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a longterm investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Lincoln National Corp. (NYSE: LNC)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2018.
Start date:  09/20/2018 


End date:  09/19/2023  
Start price/share:  $70.14  
End price/share:  $26.53  
Starting shares:  142.57  
Ending shares:  171.40  
Dividends reinvested/share:  $8.24  
Total return:  54.53%  
Average annual return:  14.58%  
Starting investment:  $10,000.00  
Ending investment:  $4,547.76 
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of 14.58%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $4,547.76 today (as of 09/19/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 54.53% (something to think about: how might LNC shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Lincoln National Corp. paid investors a total of $8.24/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on exdate is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.8/share, we calculate that LNC has a current yield of approximately 6.78%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.8 against the original $70.14/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 9.67%.
Another great investment quote to think about:
“I made my money by selling too soon.” — Bernard Baruch