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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Xcel Energy Inc (NASD: XEL)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2013.

Start date: 09/20/2013
$10,000

09/20/2013
  $28,918

09/19/2023
End date: 09/19/2023
Start price/share: $27.75
End price/share: $58.52
Starting shares: 360.36
Ending shares: 494.19
Dividends reinvested/share: $15.76
Total return: 189.20%
Average annual return: 11.20%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $28,918.40

As we can see, the ten year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 11.20%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $28,918.40 today (as of 09/19/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 189.20% (something to think about: how might XEL shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Xcel Energy Inc paid investors a total of $15.76/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.08/share, we calculate that XEL has a current yield of approximately 3.55%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.08 against the original $27.75/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 12.79%.

One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“Successful investing is anticipating the anticipations of others.” — John Maynard Keynes