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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Activision Blizzard, Inc. (NASD: ATVI)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2018.

Start date: 09/27/2018
$10,000

09/27/2018
  $11,756

09/26/2023
End date: 09/26/2023
Start price/share: $82.87
End price/share: $94.00
Starting shares: 120.67
Ending shares: 125.10
Dividends reinvested/share: $2.71
Total return: 17.59%
Average annual return: 3.29%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $11,756.86

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 3.29%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $11,756.86 today (as of 09/26/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 17.59% (something to think about: how might ATVI shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Activision Blizzard, Inc. paid investors a total of $2.71/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .99/share, we calculate that ATVI has a current yield of approximately 1.05%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .99 against the original $82.87/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.27%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“When everyone is going right, look left.” — Sam Zell