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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Intel Corp (NASD: INTC)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2018.

Start date: 07/30/2018


End date: 07/27/2023
Start price/share: $47.69
End price/share: $34.55
Starting shares: 209.69
Ending shares: 241.70
Dividends reinvested/share: $6.52
Total return: -16.49%
Average annual return: -3.54%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $8,352.61

As we can see, the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -3.54%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $8,352.61 today (as of 07/27/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -16.49% (something to think about: how might INTC shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Intel Corp paid investors a total of $6.52/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .5/share, we calculate that INTC has a current yield of approximately 1.45%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .5 against the original $47.69/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 3.04%.

More investment wisdom to ponder:
“The investor’s chief problem, even his worst enemy, is likely to be himself.” — Benjamin Graham