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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Hormel Foods Corp. (NYSE: HRL)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2018.

Start date: 06/26/2018
$10,000

06/26/2018
  $12,128

06/23/2023
End date: 06/23/2023
Start price/share: $37.06
End price/share: $40.47
Starting shares: 269.83
Ending shares: 299.77
Dividends reinvested/share: $4.72
Total return: 21.32%
Average annual return: 3.94%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $12,128.91

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 3.94%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $12,128.91 today (as of 06/23/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 21.32% (something to think about: how might HRL shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Hormel Foods Corp. paid investors a total of $4.72/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.1/share, we calculate that HRL has a current yield of approximately 2.72%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.1 against the original $37.06/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 7.34%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“As long as you enjoy investing, you’ll be willing to do the homework and stay in the game.” — Jim Cramer