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“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a twenty year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE: BK)? Today, we examine the outcome of a twenty year investment into the stock back in 2003.

Start date: 06/09/2003
$10,000

06/09/2003
  $22,689

06/07/2023
End date: 06/07/2023
Start price/share: $30.21
End price/share: $43.71
Starting shares: 331.02
Ending shares: 519.27
Dividends reinvested/share: $17.14
Total return: 126.97%
Average annual return: 4.18%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $22,689.93

As we can see, the twenty year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.18%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $22,689.93 today (as of 06/07/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 126.97% (something to think about: how might BK shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Bank of New York Mellon Corp paid investors a total of $17.14/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.48/share, we calculate that BK has a current yield of approximately 3.39%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.48 against the original $30.21/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 11.22%.

More investment wisdom to ponder:
“All the opportunity in the world means nothing if you don’t actually pull the trigger.” — Sam Zell