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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Las Vegas Sands Corp (NYSE: LVS)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2018.

Start date: 03/06/2018


End date: 03/03/2023
Start price/share: $72.64
End price/share: $60.80
Starting shares: 137.67
Ending shares: 154.47
Dividends reinvested/share: $6.87
Total return: -6.08%
Average annual return: -1.25%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $9,391.08

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -1.25%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $9,391.08 today (as of 03/03/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -6.08% (something to think about: how might LVS shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Las Vegas Sands Corp paid investors a total of $6.87/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 3.16/share, we calculate that LVS has a current yield of approximately 5.20%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 3.16 against the original $72.64/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 7.16%.

One more investment quote to leave you with:
“Generally, the greater the stigma or revulsion, the better the bargain.” — Seth Klarman