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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Intel Corp (NASD: INTC)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2017.

Start date: 09/08/2017


End date: 09/07/2022
Start price/share: $35.19
End price/share: $30.65
Starting shares: 284.17
Ending shares: 323.87
Dividends reinvested/share: $6.54
Total return: -0.73%
Average annual return: -0.15%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $9,925.22

The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -0.15%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $9,925.22 today (as of 09/07/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -0.73% (something to think about: how might INTC shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Intel Corp paid investors a total of $6.54/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.46/share, we calculate that INTC has a current yield of approximately 4.76%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.46 against the original $35.19/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 13.53%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“I rarely think the market is right. I believe non-dividend stocks aren’t much more than baseball cards. They are worth what you can convince someone to pay for it.” — Mark Cuban