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“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a two-decade holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Intel Corp (NASD: INTC)? Today, we examine the outcome of a two-decade investment into the stock back in 2002.

Start date: 01/07/2002


End date: 01/05/2022
Start price/share: $35.27
End price/share: $53.87
Starting shares: 283.53
Ending shares: 461.11
Dividends reinvested/share: $14.94
Total return: 148.40%
Average annual return: 4.65%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $24,828.29

As we can see, the two-decade investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.65%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $24,828.29 today (as of 01/05/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 148.40% (something to think about: how might INTC shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Intel Corp paid investors a total of $14.94/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.39/share, we calculate that INTC has a current yield of approximately 2.58%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.39 against the original $35.27/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 7.31%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“Invest for the long haul. Don’t get too greedy and don’t get too scared.” — Shelby Davis