“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a twenty year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into AES Corp (NYSE: AES)? Today, we examine the outcome of a twenty year investment into the stock back in 2001.
|Average annual return:||3.39%|
As shown above, the twenty year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 3.39%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $19,486.30 today (as of 12/30/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 94.94% (something to think about: how might AES shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that AES Corp paid investors a total of $3.96/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .632/share, we calculate that AES has a current yield of approximately 2.61%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .632 against the original $16.35/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 15.96%.
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“Thousands of experts study overbought indicators, head-and-shoulder patterns, put-call ratios, the Fed’s policy on money supplyâ€¦and they can’t predict markets with any useful consistency, any more than the gizzard squeezers could tell the Roman emperors when the Huns would attack.” — Peter Lynch