“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a decade-long holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASD: ORLY) back in 2011: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full decade-long investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 10 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
| Start date: | 11/17/2011 |
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| End date: | 11/16/2021 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $76.05 | ||||
| End price/share: | $652.00 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 131.49 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 131.49 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
| Total return: | 757.33% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 23.95% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $85,699.10 | ||||
The above analysis shows the decade-long investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 23.95%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $85,699.10 today (as of 11/16/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 757.33% (something to think about: how might ORLY shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Those who do not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” — George Santayana
