“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
The wisdom of Warren Buffett reflects a value-based philosophy about investing that says investors are buying shares in a business, and encourages strategic thinking about investment time horizon. Before placing a buy order for a stock, a great question we can ask is whether we would still be comfortable making the investment if we couldn’t sell it for many years?
A “buy-and-hold” approach may call for a time horizon that spans a long period of time — maybe even lasting for a twenty year holding period. Suppose such a “buy-and-hold” investor had looked into buying shares of Hasbro, Inc. (NASD: HAS) back in 2001. Let’s take a look at how such an investment would have worked out for that buy-and-hold investor:
| Start date: | 11/16/2001 |
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| End date: | 11/15/2021 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $17.77 | ||||
| End price/share: | $99.09 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 562.75 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 912.97 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $26.71 | ||||
| Total return: | 804.66% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 11.63% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $90,394.52 | ||||
As we can see, the twenty year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 11.63%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $90,394.52 today (as of 11/15/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 804.66% (something to think about: how might HAS shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Hasbro, Inc. paid investors a total of $26.71/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.72/share, we calculate that HAS has a current yield of approximately 2.74%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.72 against the original $17.77/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 15.42%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“When you sell in desperation, you always sell cheap.” — Peter Lynch
