“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a two-decade holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Rollins, Inc. (NYSE: ROL) back in 2001: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full two-decade investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 20 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
| Start date: | 07/23/2001 |
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| End date: | 07/22/2021 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $1.18 | ||||
| End price/share: | $37.64 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 8,474.58 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 11,078.67 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $2.56 | ||||
| Total return: | 4,070.01% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 20.49% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $416,780.34 | ||||
As shown above, the two-decade investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 20.49%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $416,780.34 today (as of 07/22/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 4,070.01% (something to think about: how might ROL shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Rollins, Inc. paid investors a total of $2.56/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .32/share, we calculate that ROL has a current yield of approximately 0.85%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .32 against the original $1.18/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 72.03%.
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“The stock market is the story of cycles and of the human behavior that is responsible for overreactions in both directions.” — Seth Klarman
