“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a ten year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Ecolab Inc (NYSE: ECL) back in 2011: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full ten year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 10 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
| Start date: | 01/11/2011 |
|
|||
| End date: | 01/08/2021 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $49.00 | ||||
| End price/share: | $221.75 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 204.08 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 228.92 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $13.39 | ||||
| Total return: | 407.62% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 17.64% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $50,763.34 | ||||
As we can see, the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 17.64%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $50,763.34 today (as of 01/08/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 407.62% (something to think about: how might ECL shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Ecolab Inc paid investors a total of $13.39/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.92/share, we calculate that ECL has a current yield of approximately 0.87%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.92 against the original $49.00/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.78%.
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“To achieve satisfactory investment results is easier than most people realize; to achieve superior results is harder than it looks.” — Benjamin Graham
