Photo credit: commons.wikimedia.org

“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a decade-long holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into CVS Health Corporation (NYSE: CVS)? Today, we examine the outcome of a decade-long investment into the stock back in 2010.

Start date: 12/09/2010
$10,000

12/09/2010
$27,106

12/08/2020
End date: 12/08/2020
Start price/share: $33.59
End price/share: $73.86
Starting shares: 297.71
Ending shares: 366.93
Dividends reinvested/share: $14.25
Total return: 171.02%
Average annual return: 10.48%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $27,106.52

The above analysis shows the decade-long investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 10.48%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $27,106.52 today (as of 12/08/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 171.02% (something to think about: how might CVS shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that CVS Health Corporation paid investors a total of $14.25/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2/share, we calculate that CVS has a current yield of approximately 2.71%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2 against the original $33.59/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 8.07%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Investing is the intersection of economics and psychology.” — Seth Klarman