“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a twenty year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into National Oilwell Varco Inc (NYSE: NOV)? Today, we examine the outcome of a twenty year investment into the stock back in 2000.
|Average annual return:||-1.47%|
The above analysis shows the twenty year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -1.47%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $7,435.91 today (as of 10/28/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -25.60% (something to think about: how might NOV shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Beyond share price change, another component of NOV’s total return these past 20 years has been the payment by National Oilwell Varco Inc of $7.74/share in dividends to shareholders. Automatic reinvestment of dividends can be a wonderful way to compound returns, and for the above calculations we presume that dividends are reinvested into additional shares of stock. (For the purpose of these calcuations, the closing price on ex-date is used).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .2/share, we calculate that NOV has a current yield of approximately 2.50%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .2 against the original $12.74/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 19.62%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Be fearful when others are greedy; be greedy when others are fearful.” — Warren Buffett