“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a two-decade holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into NetApp, Inc. (NASD: NTAP)? Today, we examine the outcome of a two-decade investment into the stock back in 2000.
Start date: | 05/08/2000 |
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End date: | 05/05/2020 | ||||
Start price/share: | $63.19 | ||||
End price/share: | $41.20 | ||||
Starting shares: | 158.26 | ||||
Ending shares: | 185.01 | ||||
Dividends reinvested/share: | $7.06 | ||||
Total return: | -23.78% | ||||
Average annual return: | -1.35% | ||||
Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
Ending investment: | $7,619.20 |
As we can see, the two-decade investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -1.35%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $7,619.20 today (as of 05/05/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -23.78% (something to think about: how might NTAP shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that NetApp, Inc. paid investors a total of $7.06/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.92/share, we calculate that NTAP has a current yield of approximately 4.66%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.92 against the original $63.19/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 7.37%.
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“One of the funny things about the stock market is that every time one person buys, another sells, and both think they are astute.” — William Feather