“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into United Airlines Holdings Inc (NASD: UAL)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2015.
| Start date: | 05/01/2015 |
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| End date: | 04/30/2020 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $61.40 | ||||
| End price/share: | $29.58 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 162.87 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 162.87 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
| Total return: | -51.82% | ||||
| Average annual return: | -13.58% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $4,818.34 | ||||
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -13.58%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $4,818.34 today (as of 04/30/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -51.82% (something to think about: how might UAL shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“Smart investing doesn’t consist of buying good assets but of buying assets well. This is a very, very important distinction that very, very few people understand.” — Howard Marks
