“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a two-decade holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Kohl’s Corp. (NYSE: KSS)? Today, we examine the outcome of a two-decade investment into the stock back in 1999.
| Start date: | 12/27/1999 |
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| End date: | 12/26/2019 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $34.94 | ||||
| End price/share: | $51.19 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 286.20 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 392.60 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $16.36 | ||||
| Total return: | 100.97% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 3.55% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $20,098.71 | ||||
As shown above, the two-decade investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 3.55%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $20,098.71 today (as of 12/26/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 100.97% (something to think about: how might KSS shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Kohl’s Corp. paid investors a total of $16.36/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.68/share, we calculate that KSS has a current yield of approximately 5.24%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.68 against the original $34.94/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 15.00%.
Another great investment quote to think about:
“Investing is the intersection of economics and psychology.” — Seth Klarman
