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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Texas Instruments Inc. (NASD: TXN)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2009.

Start date: 07/30/2009
$10,000

07/30/2009
$68,262

07/29/2019
End date: 07/29/2019
Start price/share: $24.15
End price/share: $129.97
Starting shares: 414.08
Ending shares: 525.16
Dividends reinvested/share: $13.53
Total return: 582.55%
Average annual return: 21.17%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $68,262.09

The above analysis shows the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 21.17%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $68,262.09 today (as of 07/29/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 582.55% (something to think about: how might TXN shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Texas Instruments Inc. paid investors a total of $13.53/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 3.08/share, we calculate that TXN has a current yield of approximately 2.37%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 3.08 against the original $24.15/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 9.81%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“The intelligent investor is a realist who sells to optimists and buys from pessimists.” — Benjamin Graham