Photo credit: commons.wikimedia.org

“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a two-decade holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE: HIG)? Today, we examine the outcome of a two-decade investment into the stock back in 2003.

Start date: 05/01/2003
$10,000

05/01/2003
  $25,498

04/28/2023
End date: 04/28/2023
Start price/share: $42.89
End price/share: $70.99
Starting shares: 233.15
Ending shares: 359.08
Dividends reinvested/share: $20.74
Total return: 154.91%
Average annual return: 4.79%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $25,498.12

As we can see, the two-decade investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.79%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $25,498.12 today (as of 04/28/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 154.91% (something to think about: how might HIG shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. paid investors a total of $20.74/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.7/share, we calculate that HIG has a current yield of approximately 2.39%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.7 against the original $42.89/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 5.57%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator.” — Benjamin Graham