“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a five year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into Applied Materials, Inc. (NASD: AMAT) back in 2018: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full five year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 5 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
| Start date: | 04/19/2018 |
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| End date: | 04/18/2023 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $51.19 | ||||
| End price/share: | $111.27 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 195.35 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 208.34 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $4.52 | ||||
| Total return: | 131.82% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 18.31% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $23,179.67 | ||||
As we can see, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 18.31%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $23,179.67 today (as of 04/18/2023). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 131.82% (something to think about: how might AMAT shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Applied Materials, Inc. paid investors a total of $4.52/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.28/share, we calculate that AMAT has a current yield of approximately 1.15%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.28 against the original $51.19/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 2.25%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“You’ve got to be careful if you don’t know where you’re going, ’cause you might not get there.” — Yogi Berra
