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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Walmart Inc (NYSE: WMT)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2012.

Start date: 11/01/2012
$10,000

11/01/2012
  $24,228

10/31/2022
End date: 10/31/2022
Start price/share: $73.45
End price/share: $142.33
Starting shares: 136.15
Ending shares: 170.27
Dividends reinvested/share: $20.44
Total return: 142.34%
Average annual return: 9.25%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $24,228.12

As shown above, the ten year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 9.25%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $24,228.12 today (as of 10/31/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 142.34% (something to think about: how might WMT shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Walmart Inc paid investors a total of $20.44/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.24/share, we calculate that WMT has a current yield of approximately 1.57%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.24 against the original $73.45/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 2.14%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.” — George Soros