Photo credit: commons.wikimedia.org

“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The wisdom of Warren Buffett reflects a value-based philosophy about investing that says investors are buying shares in a business, and encourages strategic thinking about investment time horizon. Before placing a buy order for a stock, a great question we can ask is whether we would still be comfortable making the investment if we couldn’t sell it for many years?

A “buy-and-hold” approach may call for a time horizon that spans a long period of time — maybe even lasting for a ten year holding period. Suppose such a “buy-and-hold” investor had looked into buying shares of Broadcom Inc (NASD: AVGO) back in 2012. Let’s take a look at how such an investment would have worked out for that buy-and-hold investor:

Start date: 03/02/2012
$10,000

03/02/2012
$201,678

03/01/2022
End date: 03/01/2022
Start price/share: $36.60
End price/share: $570.12
Starting shares: 273.22
Ending shares: 353.69
Dividends reinvested/share: $62.54
Total return: 1,916.48%
Average annual return: 35.03%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $201,678.69

As shown above, the ten year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 35.03%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $201,678.69 today (as of 03/01/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 1,916.48% (something to think about: how might AVGO shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Always an important consideration with a dividend-paying company is: should we reinvest our dividends?Over the past 10 years, Broadcom Inc has paid $62.54/share in dividends. For the above analysis, we assume that the investor reinvests dividends into new shares of stock (for the above calculations, the reinvestment is performed using closing price on ex-div date for that dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 16.4/share, we calculate that AVGO has a current yield of approximately 2.88%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 16.4 against the original $36.60/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 7.87%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“The idea that a bell rings to signal when to get into or out of the stock market is simply not credible. After nearly fifty years in this business, I don’t know anybody who has done it successfully and consistently.” — Jack Bogle