“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
This inspiring quote from Warren Buffett teaches us the importance of considering our investment time horizon when approaching any given investment: Could we envision ourselves holding the stock we are considering for many years? Even a five year holding period potentially?
For “buy-and-hold” investors taking a long-term view, what’s important isn’t the short-term stock market fluctuations that will inevitably occur, but what happens over the long haul. Looking back 5 years to 2017, investors considering an investment into shares of Booking Holdings Inc (NASD: BKNG) may have been pondering this very question and thinking about their potential investment result over a full five year time horizon. Here’s how that would have worked out.
| Start date: | 01/30/2017 |
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| End date: | 01/27/2022 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $1,602.31 | ||||
| End price/share: | $2,359.65 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 6.24 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 6.24 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
| Total return: | 47.27% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 8.06% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $14,727.88 | ||||
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 8.06%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $14,727.88 today (as of 01/27/2022). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 47.27% (something to think about: how might BKNG shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
More investment wisdom to ponder:
“While it might seem that anyone can be a value investor, the essential characteristics of this type of investor-patience, discipline, and risk aversion-may well be genetically determined.” — Seth Klarman
