“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a twenty year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Mondelez International Inc (NASD: MDLZ)? Today, we examine the outcome of a twenty year investment into the stock back in 2001.
| Start date: | 10/12/2001 |
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| End date: | 10/11/2021 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $33.40 | ||||
| End price/share: | $59.42 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 299.40 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 741.71 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $32.15 | ||||
| Total return: | 340.72% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 7.69% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $44,041.30 | ||||
The above analysis shows the twenty year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 7.69%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $44,041.30 today (as of 10/11/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 340.72% (something to think about: how might MDLZ shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Mondelez International Inc paid investors a total of $32.15/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.4/share, we calculate that MDLZ has a current yield of approximately 2.36%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.4 against the original $33.40/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 7.07%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Those who do not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” — George Santayana
