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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The wisdom of Warren Buffett reflects a value-based philosophy about investing that says investors are buying shares in a business, and encourages strategic thinking about investment time horizon. Before placing a buy order for a stock, a great question we can ask is whether we would still be comfortable making the investment if we couldn’t sell it for many years?

A “buy-and-hold” approach may call for a time horizon that spans a long period of time — maybe even lasting for a ten year holding period. Suppose such a “buy-and-hold” investor had looked into buying shares of Pioneer Natural Resources Co (NYSE: PXD) back in 2011. Let’s take a look at how such an investment would have worked out for that buy-and-hold investor:

Start date: 08/09/2011


End date: 08/06/2021
Start price/share: $76.14
End price/share: $151.55
Starting shares: 131.34
Ending shares: 137.58
Dividends reinvested/share: $5.36
Total return: 108.50%
Average annual return: 7.62%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $20,841.54

As we can see, the ten year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 7.62%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $20,841.54 today (as of 08/06/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 108.50% (something to think about: how might PXD shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Pioneer Natural Resources Co paid investors a total of $5.36/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 6.04/share, we calculate that PXD has a current yield of approximately 3.99%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 6.04 against the original $76.14/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 5.24%.

One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“The intelligent investor is a realist who sells to optimists and buys from pessimists.” — Benjamin Graham