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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a decade-long holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Simon Property Group, Inc. (NYSE: SPG)? Today, we examine the outcome of a decade-long investment into the stock back in 2011.

Start date: 02/11/2011


End date: 02/10/2021
Start price/share: $100.81
End price/share: $106.22
Starting shares: 99.20
Ending shares: 145.88
Dividends reinvested/share: $57.67
Total return: 54.95%
Average annual return: 4.47%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $15,488.88

As shown above, the decade-long investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.47%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $15,488.88 today (as of 02/10/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 54.95% (something to think about: how might SPG shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Simon Property Group, Inc. paid investors a total of $57.67/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 5.2/share, we calculate that SPG has a current yield of approximately 4.90%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 5.2 against the original $100.81/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 4.86%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong.” — Bernard Baruch