“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Mosaic Co (NYSE: MOS)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2011.
|Average annual return:||-9.54%|
The above analysis shows the ten year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -9.54%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $3,669.15 today (as of 01/29/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -63.32% (something to think about: how might MOS shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Beyond share price change, another component of MOS’s total return these past 10 years has been the payment by Mosaic Co of $6.13/share in dividends to shareholders. Automatic reinvestment of dividends can be a wonderful way to compound returns, and for the above calculations we presume that dividends are reinvested into additional shares of stock. (For the purpose of these calcuations, the closing price on ex-date is used).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .2/share, we calculate that MOS has a current yield of approximately 0.77%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .2 against the original $83.88/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 0.92%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Thousands of experts study overbought indicators, head-and-shoulder patterns, put-call ratios, the Fed’s policy on money supplyâ€¦and they can’t predict markets with any useful consistency, any more than the gizzard squeezers could tell the Roman emperors when the Huns would attack.” — Peter Lynch