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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a five year holding period for an investor who was considering C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (NASD: CHRW) back in 2016, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.

Start date: 02/19/2016


End date: 02/18/2021
Start price/share: $70.48
End price/share: $91.24
Starting shares: 141.88
Ending shares: 159.58
Dividends reinvested/share: $9.48
Total return: 45.60%
Average annual return: 7.80%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $14,560.73

As we can see, the five year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 7.80%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $14,560.73 today (as of 02/18/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 45.60% (something to think about: how might CHRW shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. paid investors a total of $9.48/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.04/share, we calculate that CHRW has a current yield of approximately 2.24%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.04 against the original $70.48/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 3.18%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.” — Warren Buffett