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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a five year holding period for an investor who was considering Prologis Inc (NYSE: PLD) back in 2016, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.

Start date: 02/03/2016


End date: 02/02/2021
Start price/share: $39.52
End price/share: $106.88
Starting shares: 253.04
Ending shares: 292.71
Dividends reinvested/share: $9.80
Total return: 212.85%
Average annual return: 25.61%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $31,289.05

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 25.61%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $31,289.05 today (as of 02/02/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 212.85% (something to think about: how might PLD shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Prologis Inc paid investors a total of $9.80/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.32/share, we calculate that PLD has a current yield of approximately 2.17%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.32 against the original $39.52/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 5.49%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“The most important thing about an investment philosophy is that you have one.” — David Booth