“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a longterm investment horizon, where a decadelong holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Pioneer Natural Resources Co (NYSE: PXD)? Today, we examine the outcome of a decadelong investment into the stock back in 2011.
Start date:  01/10/2011 


End date:  01/07/2021  
Start price/share:  $87.86  
End price/share:  $131.99  
Starting shares:  113.82  
Ending shares:  118.44  
Dividends reinvested/share:  $4.28  
Total return:  56.33%  
Average annual return:  4.57%  
Starting investment:  $10,000.00  
Ending investment:  $15,634.04 
As shown above, the decadelong investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.57%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $15,634.04 today (as of 01/07/2021). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 56.33% (something to think about: how might PXD shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Pioneer Natural Resources Co paid investors a total of $4.28/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on exdate is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.2/share, we calculate that PXD has a current yield of approximately 1.67%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.2 against the original $87.86/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.90%.
Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“If you can follow only one bit of data, follow the earnings.” — Peter Lynch