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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Darden Restaurants, Inc. (NYSE: DRI)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2015.

Start date: 12/07/2015


End date: 12/04/2020
Start price/share: $58.92
End price/share: $114.82
Starting shares: 169.72
Ending shares: 193.14
Dividends reinvested/share: $11.70
Total return: 121.77%
Average annual return: 17.28%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $22,178.40

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 17.28%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $22,178.40 today (as of 12/04/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 121.77% (something to think about: how might DRI shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Darden Restaurants, Inc. paid investors a total of $11.70/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.2/share, we calculate that DRI has a current yield of approximately 1.05%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.2 against the original $58.92/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.78%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“When you sell in desperation, you always sell cheap.” — Peter Lynch