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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a five year holding period for an investor who was considering Celanese Corp (NYSE: CE) back in 2015, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.

Start date: 11/18/2015


End date: 11/17/2020
Start price/share: $72.09
End price/share: $132.41
Starting shares: 138.72
Ending shares: 154.24
Dividends reinvested/share: $10.08
Total return: 104.23%
Average annual return: 15.34%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $20,420.65

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 15.34%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $20,420.65 today (as of 11/17/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 104.23% (something to think about: how might CE shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Celanese Corp paid investors a total of $10.08/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.48/share, we calculate that CE has a current yield of approximately 1.87%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.48 against the original $72.09/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 2.59%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“We don’t have to be smarter than the rest. We have to be more disciplined than the rest.” — Warren Buffett