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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into ONEOK Inc (NYSE: OKE)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2015.

Start date: 11/04/2015
$10,000

11/04/2015
$12,028

11/03/2020
End date: 11/03/2020
Start price/share: $33.56
End price/share: $28.92
Starting shares: 297.97
Ending shares: 415.86
Dividends reinvested/share: $15.70
Total return: 20.27%
Average annual return: 3.76%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $12,028.01

The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 3.76%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $12,028.01 today (as of 11/03/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 20.27% (something to think about: how might OKE shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that ONEOK Inc paid investors a total of $15.70/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 3.74/share, we calculate that OKE has a current yield of approximately 12.93%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 3.74 against the original $33.56/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 38.53%.

One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“Those who do not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” — George Santayana