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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The investment philosophy practiced by Warren Buffett calls for investors to take a long-term horizon when making an investment, such as a five year holding period (or even longer), and reconsider making the investment in the first place if unable to envision holding the stock for at least five years. Today, we look at how such a long-term strategy would have done for investors in Marsh & McLennan Companies Inc. (NYSE: MMC) back in 2015, holding through to today.

Start date: 10/27/2015
$10,000

10/27/2015
$22,037

10/26/2020
End date: 10/26/2020
Start price/share: $55.45
End price/share: $111.09
Starting shares: 180.34
Ending shares: 198.35
Dividends reinvested/share: $7.89
Total return: 120.35%
Average annual return: 17.11%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $22,037.27

The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out exceptionally well, with an annualized rate of return of 17.11%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $22,037.27 today (as of 10/26/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 120.35% (something to think about: how might MMC shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Beyond share price change, another component of MMC’s total return these past 5 years has been the payment by Marsh & McLennan Companies Inc. of $7.89/share in dividends to shareholders. Automatic reinvestment of dividends can be a wonderful way to compound returns, and for the above calculations we presume that dividends are reinvested into additional shares of stock. (For the purpose of these calcuations, the closing price on ex-date is used).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.86/share, we calculate that MMC has a current yield of approximately 1.67%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.86 against the original $55.45/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 3.01%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” — John Maynard Keynes