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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a five year holding period for an investor who was considering J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. (NASD: JBHT) back in 2015, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.

Start date: 09/02/2015


End date: 09/01/2020
Start price/share: $74.05
End price/share: $140.97
Starting shares: 135.04
Ending shares: 141.79
Dividends reinvested/share: $4.82
Total return: 99.88%
Average annual return: 14.85%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $19,990.32

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 14.85%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $19,990.32 today (as of 09/01/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 99.88% (something to think about: how might JBHT shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. paid investors a total of $4.82/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.08/share, we calculate that JBHT has a current yield of approximately 0.77%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.08 against the original $74.05/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.04%.

More investment wisdom to ponder:
“You’ve got to be careful if you don’t know where you’re going, ’cause you might not get there.” — Yogi Berra