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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into AT&T Inc (NYSE: T)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2015.

Start date: 08/18/2015
$10,000

08/18/2015
$11,503

08/17/2020
End date: 08/17/2020
Start price/share: $34.35
End price/share: $29.85
Starting shares: 291.12
Ending shares: 385.31
Dividends reinvested/share: $9.95
Total return: 15.01%
Average annual return: 2.84%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $11,503.86

The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 2.84%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $11,503.86 today (as of 08/17/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 15.01% (something to think about: how might T shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that AT&T Inc paid investors a total of $9.95/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.08/share, we calculate that T has a current yield of approximately 6.97%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.08 against the original $34.35/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 20.29%.

One more investment quote to leave you with:
“Know what you own and why you own it.” — Peter Lynch