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“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Pioneer Natural Resources Co (NYSE: PXD)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2015.

Start date: 07/13/2015


End date: 07/10/2020
Start price/share: $136.55
End price/share: $92.44
Starting shares: 73.23
Ending shares: 75.14
Dividends reinvested/share: $2.82
Total return: -30.54%
Average annual return: -7.03%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $6,947.06

As shown above, the five year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -7.03%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $6,947.06 today (as of 07/10/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -30.54% (something to think about: how might PXD shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Pioneer Natural Resources Co paid investors a total of $2.82/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 2.2/share, we calculate that PXD has a current yield of approximately 2.38%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 2.2 against the original $136.55/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.74%.

One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“The greater the passive income you can build, the freer you will become.” — Todd Fleming