“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
Investors can learn a lot from Warren Buffett, whose above quote teaches the importance of thinking about investment time horizon, and asking ourselves before buying any given stock: can we envision holding onto it for years — even a five year holding period possibly?
Suppose a “buy-and-hold” investor was considering an investment into O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASD: ORLY) back in 2015: back then, such an investor may have been pondering this very same question. Had they answered “yes” to a full five year investment time horizon and then actually held for these past 5 years, here’s how that investment would have turned out.
| Start date: | 05/04/2015 |
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| End date: | 05/01/2020 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $222.79 | ||||
| End price/share: | $376.37 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 44.89 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 44.89 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $0.00 | ||||
| Total return: | 68.93% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 11.06% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $16,891.32 | ||||
As shown above, the five year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 11.06%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $16,891.32 today (as of 05/01/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 68.93% (something to think about: how might ORLY shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“Buy not on optimism, but on arithmetic.” — Benjamin Graham
