“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a twenty year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into The Gap Inc (NYSE: GPS)? Today, we examine the outcome of a twenty year investment into the stock back in 2000.
|Average annual return:||-5.37%|
The above analysis shows the twenty year investment result worked out poorly, with an annualized rate of return of -5.37%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $3,313.71 today (as of 05/07/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of -66.87% (something to think about: how might GPS shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Beyond share price change, another component of GPS’s total return these past 20 years has been the payment by The Gap Inc of $9.58/share in dividends to shareholders. Automatic reinvestment of dividends can be a wonderful way to compound returns, and for the above calculations we presume that dividends are reinvested into additional shares of stock. (For the purpose of these calcuations, the closing price on ex-date is used).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .97/share, we calculate that GPS has a current yield of approximately 13.07%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .97 against the original $33.25/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 39.31%.
Another great investment quote to think about:
“History provides a crucial insight regarding market crises: they are inevitable, painful and ultimately surmountable.” — Shelby Davis