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“Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree a long time ago.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a twenty year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM)? Today, we examine the outcome of a twenty year investment into the stock back in 2000.

Start date: 03/10/2000
$10,000

03/10/2000
$18,816

03/09/2020
End date: 03/09/2020
Start price/share: $10.09
End price/share: $17.88
Starting shares: 991.08
Ending shares: 1,053.04
Dividends reinvested/share: $1.64
Total return: 88.28%
Average annual return: 3.21%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $18,816.91

The above analysis shows the twenty year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 3.21%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $18,816.91 today (as of 03/09/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 88.28% (something to think about: how might MGM shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that MGM Resorts International paid investors a total of $1.64/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .6/share, we calculate that MGM has a current yield of approximately 3.36%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .6 against the original $10.09/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 33.30%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“All intelligent investing is value investing: acquiring more that you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock.” — Charlie Munger