“When we own portions of outstanding businesses with outstanding managements, our favorite holding period is forever.”
— Warren Buffett
One of the most important things investors can learn from Warren Buffett, is about how they approach their time horizon for an investment into a stock under consideration. Because immediately after buying shares of a given stock, investors will then be able to check on the day-to-day (and even minute-by-minute) market value. Some days the stock market will be up, other days down. These daily fluctuations can often distract from the long-term view. Today, we look at the result of a two-decade holding period for an investor who was considering Lam Research Corp (NASD: LRCX) back in 2000, bought the stock, ignored the market’s ups and downs, and simply held through to today.
| Start date: | 01/21/2000 |
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| End date: | 01/17/2020 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $46.31 | ||||
| End price/share: | $308.00 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 215.94 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 236.73 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $13.12 | ||||
| Total return: | 629.12% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 10.44% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $72,886.34 | ||||
As we can see, the two-decade investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 10.44%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 20 years ago into $72,886.34 today (as of 01/17/2020). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 629.12% (something to think about: how might LRCX shares perform over the next 20 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Lam Research Corp paid investors a total of $13.12/share in dividends over the 20 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 4.6/share, we calculate that LRCX has a current yield of approximately 1.49%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 4.6 against the original $46.31/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 3.22%.
One more piece of investment wisdom to leave you with:
“You’ve got to be careful if you don’t know where you’re going, ’cause you might not get there.” — Yogi Berra
