Photo credit: commons.wikimedia.org

“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Goldman Sachs Group Inc (the (NYSE: GS)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2009.

Start date: 12/07/2009
$10,000

12/07/2009
$15,220

12/05/2019
End date: 12/05/2019
Start price/share: $163.85
End price/share: $217.14
Starting shares: 61.03
Ending shares: 70.09
Dividends reinvested/share: $24.22
Total return: 52.18%
Average annual return: 4.29%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $15,220.42

As we can see, the ten year investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 4.29%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $15,220.42 today (as of 12/05/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 52.18% (something to think about: how might GS shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Goldman Sachs Group Inc (the paid investors a total of $24.22/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 5/share, we calculate that GS has a current yield of approximately 2.30%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 5 against the original $163.85/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 1.40%.

Here’s one more great investment quote before you go:
“The most important three words in investing is: “I don’t know.” If someone doesn’t say that to you then they are lying.” — James Altucher