“I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years.”
— Warren Buffett
The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a five year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Mondelez International Inc (NASD: MDLZ)? Today, we examine the outcome of a five year investment into the stock back in 2014.
| Start date: | 12/04/2014 |
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| End date: | 12/03/2019 | ||||
| Start price/share: | $38.41 | ||||
| End price/share: | $53.13 | ||||
| Starting shares: | 260.35 | ||||
| Ending shares: | 286.06 | ||||
| Dividends reinvested/share: | $4.09 | ||||
| Total return: | 51.98% | ||||
| Average annual return: | 8.73% | ||||
| Starting investment: | $10,000.00 | ||||
| Ending investment: | $15,196.62 | ||||
The above analysis shows the five year investment result worked out well, with an annualized rate of return of 8.73%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 5 years ago into $15,196.62 today (as of 12/03/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 51.98% (something to think about: how might MDLZ shares perform over the next 5 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]
Notice that Mondelez International Inc paid investors a total of $4.09/share in dividends over the 5 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).
Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 1.14/share, we calculate that MDLZ has a current yield of approximately 2.15%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 1.14 against the original $38.41/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 5.60%.
One more investment quote to leave you with:
“One of the funny things about the stock market is that every time one person buys, another sells, and both think they are astute.” — William Feather
