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“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a ten year holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Genuine Parts Co. (NYSE: GPC)? Today, we examine the outcome of a ten year investment into the stock back in 2009.

Start date: 09/17/2009
$10,000

09/17/2009
$35,930

09/16/2019
End date: 09/16/2019
Start price/share: $36.94
End price/share: $97.89
Starting shares: 270.71
Ending shares: 366.97
Dividends reinvested/share: $23.23
Total return: 259.22%
Average annual return: 13.64%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $35,930.59

As shown above, the ten year investment result worked out quite well, with an annualized rate of return of 13.64%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $35,930.59 today (as of 09/16/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 259.22% (something to think about: how might GPC shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Notice that Genuine Parts Co. paid investors a total of $23.23/share in dividends over the 10 holding period, marking a second component of the total return beyond share price change alone. Much like watering a tree, reinvesting dividends can help an investment to grow over time — for the above calculations we assume dividend reinvestment (and for this exercise the closing price on ex-date is used for the reinvestment of a given dividend).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of 3.05/share, we calculate that GPC has a current yield of approximately 3.12%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of 3.05 against the original $36.94/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 8.45%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“Spend each day trying to be a little wiser than you were when you woke up.” — Charlie Munger