Photo credit:

“Only buy something that you’d be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years.”

— Warren Buffett

The Warren Buffett investment philosophy calls for a long-term investment horizon, where a decade-long holding period, or even longer, would fit right into the strategy. How would such a strategy have worked out for an investment into Jefferies Group Inc. (NYSE: JEF)? Today, we examine the outcome of a decade-long investment into the stock back in 2009.

Start date: 07/15/2009


End date: 07/12/2019
Start price/share: $20.40
End price/share: $21.37
Starting shares: 490.20
Ending shares: 553.32
Dividends reinvested/share: $2.78
Total return: 18.24%
Average annual return: 1.69%
Starting investment: $10,000.00
Ending investment: $11,823.95

As shown above, the decade-long investment result worked out as follows, with an annualized rate of return of 1.69%. This would have turned a $10K investment made 10 years ago into $11,823.95 today (as of 07/12/2019). On a total return basis, that’s a result of 18.24% (something to think about: how might JEF shares perform over the next 10 years?). [These numbers were computed with the Dividend Channel DRIP Returns Calculator.]

Beyond share price change, another component of JEF’s total return these past 10 years has been the payment by Jefferies Group Inc. of $2.78/share in dividends to shareholders. Automatic reinvestment of dividends can be a wonderful way to compound returns, and for the above calculations we presume that dividends are reinvested into additional shares of stock. (For the purpose of these calcuations, the closing price on ex-date is used).

Based upon the most recent annualized dividend rate of .5/share, we calculate that JEF has a current yield of approximately 2.34%. Another interesting datapoint we can examine is ‘yield on cost’ — in other words, we can express the current annualized dividend of .5 against the original $20.40/share purchase price. This works out to a yield on cost of 11.47%.

Another great investment quote to think about:
“October is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February.” — Mark Twain